12 predictions for 2004

Shel Israel has twelve predictions for 2004. Most look solid, but that last one looks like the triumph of hope over experience.

Comments

[Shel Israel]

OK, on #12. Would you care to wager that my Red Sox will win more games in their sport than your Saints will win in theirs?

[Ernie]

I assume you mean "percentage-wise" and the answer is no. I've learned to never wager on the Saints. In fact, I usually bet against them, which is a form of emotional arbitrage. If I bet against them and they lose then I make some money, but if they win I'm happy and I don't mind losing money. But even here the Saints will disappoint me: they'll usually lose but within the spread.